{"ticker":"0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","venue":"polymarket","title":"Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn announcement of  Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. \n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.","price":14,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":19,"spread":10,"volume":941.211726,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":14868.1677,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","indicators":{"tauDays":245,"iyYes":915.4929166688539,"iyNo":24.261304984734373,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6429,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":4380.76,"vr":18.597,"iar":2.54,"adjIy":326.92,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-30T02:08:56.106Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T02:09:09.934Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xa85a7ef371d55db0807bf95126318bbe25b0f8299f0e9e0f6a061e41964cb912","fetchedAt":"2026-04-30T02:09:37.288Z"}