{"ticker":"0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?","description":"The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.\n\nThis market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.\n\nThe upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).","price":11,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":12,"spread":2,"volume":42762.82514099997,"volume24h":353.149997,"openInterest":15533.1214,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-09","indicators":{"tauDays":231,"iyYes":1278.638491092434,"iyNo":19.53228852697696,"cri":8.091,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1818,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.17,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":523.09,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T00:53:18.283Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"volume24h":353.149997,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:47.011Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xaf3a3a07512f3123098b5901a8c4ed2a8320cc7c8e011c831ce4af3c17324260","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T01:00:47.011Z"}