{"ticker":"0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9","venue":"polymarket","title":"Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":28,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":50,"spread":44,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1859.31702,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-200m-polymarket-0xb597a6a7f4","indicators":{"tauDays":602,"iyYes":155.99672050730038,"iyNo":23.592096619931237,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.5714,"cvr":null,"overround":0.13,"rv":498.27,"vr":3.916,"iar":1.76,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T08:08:28.962Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":44,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:18:07.177Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-200m-polymarket-0xb597a6a7f4","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb597a6a7f4720d228a1ce9976ba46d3281e041b3d062b5399da500258cbd2da9","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T08:18:07.177Z"}