{"ticker":"0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?","description":"United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a Reform UK candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA candidate will be considered an official candidate of Reform UK if they are officially nominated by Reform UK and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with Reform UK. Independent candidates will not count for any party.\n\nOnly the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford.\n\nTemporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.\n\nResolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.","price":5,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":9,"spread":7,"volume":2347.264575,"volume24h":72.29,"openInterest":1982.8523,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-05-07","slug":"will-reform-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kin-polymarket-0xb8324a1373","indicators":{"tauDays":3,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":635.0587211831231,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.2,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":2056.78,"vr":0.447,"iar":0.89,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-03T23:23:32.475Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T23:37:35.273Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-reform-win-a-mayorship-in-the-2026-united-kin-polymarket-0xb8324a1373","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2","fetchedAt":"2026-05-03T23:37:35.555Z"}