{"ticker":"0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTemporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.\n\nA qualifying arrest/detention includes:\n* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)\n* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant\n* Being formally booked or processed following detention\n* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station\n* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney\n* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring\n\nThe following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention\n* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed\n* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest\n* Being named in an indictment without arrest\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":41,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":80,"spread":78,"volume":4868.464564000001,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":38.4121,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-02-28","slug":"will-hugo-gonzalo-mendoza-gaytan-be-arrested-in-20-polymarket-0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","indicators":null,"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T23:44:05.567Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-hugo-gonzalo-mendoza-gaytan-be-arrested-in-20-polymarket-0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xbda0bdb1e7858dc258d4a6b95a384da9159a65d61d47213a560e1957f1f0290e","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T23:44:59.825Z"}