{"ticker":"0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?","description":"This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.","price":39,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":40,"spread":3,"volume":34252.04255599997,"volume24h":2131.558172,"openInterest":22998.1379,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-04-30","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":7169.37631417099,"iyNo":2930.562046184917,"cri":1.564,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0769,"cvr":null,"overround":0.07,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":3309.03,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T00:53:18.320Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:49:01.678Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc6dba42f37731aacc06f6b897e2951feffe2fed043415a79d67e06c770ba7c9b","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T00:58:55.230Z"}