{"ticker":"0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","price":10,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"volume":40485.390052999996,"volume24h":2237.484225,"openInterest":20514.23457,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","indicators":{"tauDays":69,"iyYes":4763.423864971071,"iyNo":58.8077020366799,"cri":9,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":1905.37,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T00:53:18.275Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXMANCHINRUN-28MAR01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?: Yes","confidenceScore":0.72,"closeTimeDeltaSec":52758000,"matchMethod":"fts-llm","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":25,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.04,"cvr":null,"tauDays":680,"iyYes":161.12703579227417,"iyNo":17.90300397691935}},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:55:15.459Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMANCHINRUN-28MAR01"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xc80571a1a13b24f40b1855fb51b0339612d548e3a453731832768bbb94c45e68","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T01:01:03.467Z"}