{"ticker":"0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f","venue":"polymarket","title":"Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".","price":8,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":11,"spread":6,"volume":16210.792223000008,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4639.20828,"status":"open","closeTime":"2028-01-01","slug":"probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-100m-polymarket-0xedef61bebf","indicators":{"tauDays":602,"iyYes":697.6520000465379,"iyNo":5.27525141812127,"cri":11.5,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.75,"cvr":null,"overround":0.13,"rv":2398.38,"vr":10.514,"iar":0.56,"adjIy":174.41,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T08:08:28.962Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:17:39.049Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/probable-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-100m-polymarket-0xedef61bebf","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xedef61bebfc58d0d6e890f6fa8c277f7da8a0a0df71180ae49efd90ee037925f","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T08:17:39.049Z"}