{"ticker":"0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","price":9,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":10,"spread":3,"volume":15462.690542999992,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":9095.6471,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-12-31","slug":"who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027-ghislaine-maxwel-polymarket-0xef145ca5ba","indicators":{"tauDays":200,"iyYes":1844.7520234510946,"iyNo":18.044307921692866,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":3.87,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":614.95,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-13T22:38:27.219Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Ghislaine Maxwell receive a presidential pardon before Jan 1, 2027?: Ghislaine Maxwell","confidenceScore":0.78,"closeTimeDeltaSec":140400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":true,"priceCents":10,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"tauDays":202,"iyYes":1628.801777054968,"iyNo":20.108663914258866}},"regime":{"score":0.477,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.45},"computedAt":"2026-06-13T22:56:45.775Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf"},{"description":"Counterpart on kalshi","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/who-will-trump-pardon-before-2027-ghislaine-maxwel-polymarket-0xef145ca5ba","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xef145ca5ba752b022f71b4d1f7abeb6c311cd537c0d1e64f3682ca90b2412dbf","fetchedAt":"2026-06-13T23:00:18.791Z"}