{"ticker":"0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395","venue":"polymarket","title":"Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).\n\nIf an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.","price":17,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":31,"spread":27,"volume":641.874685,"volume24h":87.86766800000001,"openInterest":487.56807,"status":"open","closeTime":"2026-06-30","indicators":{"tauDays":61,"iyYes":3681.0146888786207,"iyNo":97.5498754759613,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1.7857,"cvr":null,"overround":0.33,"rv":2563.04,"vr":10.284,"iar":2.85,"adjIy":0,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-30T02:08:56.116Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T02:17:08.981Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for 0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0xf2ba3178ff8ae7c6c3d5f7ff68f4be63874f3796b7ce96c7b3905a001f15c395","fetchedAt":"2026-04-30T02:17:54.787Z"}