{"ticker":"CONTROLS-2026-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":44,"bestBid":43,"bestAsk":44,"spread":1,"volume":2441352.21,"volume24h":4084.38,"openInterest":1230219.41,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":43,"size":118},{"price":42,"size":23978},{"price":41,"size":9386},{"price":40,"size":13627},{"price":39,"size":2503}],"askLevels":[{"price":44,"size":5854},{"price":45,"size":17505},{"price":46,"size":1865},{"price":47,"size":5694},{"price":48,"size":8506}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":58,"edge":15,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-23T06:04:18.131Z","firstDetectedPrice":47}],"slug":"will-democrats-win-the-us-senate-in-2026-kalshi-controls-2026-d","indicators":{"tauDays":235,"iyYes":205.89343102476047,"iyNo":117.17357770538072,"cri":1.326,"ee":14,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0233,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":121.19,"vr":0.835,"iar":0.28,"adjIy":201.1,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-11T15:08:28.916Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":15,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-11T15:29:53.001Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for CONTROLS-2026-D","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/CONTROLS-2026-D"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-democrats-win-the-us-senate-in-2026-kalshi-controls-2026-d","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/CONTROLS-2026-D","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/CONTROLS-2026-D","fetchedAt":"2026-06-11T15:33:29.525Z"}