{"ticker":"CONTROLS-2026-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?","description":"If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":57,"bestBid":57,"bestAsk":58,"spread":1,"volume":2864202.76,"volume24h":7689.66,"openInterest":1484861.19,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":57,"size":187},{"price":56,"size":11577},{"price":55,"size":5618},{"price":54,"size":10543},{"price":53,"size":4634}],"askLevels":[{"price":58,"size":6674},{"price":59,"size":20179},{"price":60,"size":8211},{"price":61,"size":30027},{"price":62,"size":5001}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":42,"edge":16,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-23T06:04:18.131Z","firstDetectedPrice":53}],"slug":"will-republicans-win-the-us-senate-in-2026-kalshi-controls-2026-r","indicators":{"tauDays":235,"iyYes":117.1526392522773,"iyNo":205.856638686127,"cri":1.326,"ee":15,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0175,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":101.13,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-11T14:08:27.619Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587","venue":"polymarket","title":"Which party will win the Senate in 2026?: Republican Party","confidenceScore":0.861,"closeTimeDeltaSec":7830000,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":56,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0.0179,"cvr":null,"tauDays":144,"iyYes":198.58993725250446,"iyNo":321.6828735660404}},"regime":{"score":0.462,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":32559,"askDepthUsd":70092,"volume24h":7689.66,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.2,"sfEdgeCents":16,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-11T14:21:13.745Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for CONTROLS-2026-R","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/CONTROLS-2026-R"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-republicans-win-the-us-senate-in-2026-kalshi-controls-2026-r","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/CONTROLS-2026-R","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/CONTROLS-2026-R","fetchedAt":"2026-06-11T14:21:13.746Z"}