{"ticker":"GOVPARTYMI-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":81,"bestBid":81,"bestAsk":85,"spread":4,"volume":60615.48,"volume24h":144,"openInterest":46395.62,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":81,"size":82},{"price":80,"size":750},{"price":79,"size":281},{"price":77,"size":5000},{"price":75,"size":500}],"askLevels":[{"price":85,"size":865},{"price":86,"size":10},{"price":87,"size":5001},{"price":88,"size":5},{"price":89,"size":300}],"liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":83,"edge":-1,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-30T06:04:42.204Z","firstDetectedPrice":83}],"slug":"will-the-democratic-party-win-the-governorship-in-kalshi-govpartymi-26-d","indicators":{"tauDays":496,"iyYes":17.27701489854169,"iyNo":314.0013704967648,"cri":4.263,"ee":-1,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0494,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":149.24,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T01:38:42.434Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.4,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":-1,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T01:55:52.111Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for GOVPARTYMI-26-D","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/GOVPARTYMI-26-D"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-governorship-in-kalshi-govpartymi-26-d","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/GOVPARTYMI-26-D","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/GOVPARTYMI-26-D","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T01:56:39.133Z"}