{"ticker":"HOUSECA45-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republican win the House race for CA-45?","description":"If the House member sworn in for CA-45 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":8,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":8,"spread":4,"volume":37797.41,"volume24h":2.86,"openInterest":26694.5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":4,"size":200},{"price":4,"size":1},{"price":4,"size":289},{"price":3,"size":500},{"price":3,"size":575}],"askLevels":[{"price":8,"size":90},{"price":8,"size":500},{"price":8,"size":89},{"price":8,"size":16},{"price":9,"size":8000}],"liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"California 2026 Governor: Steyer Overvalued, Hilton Tail Value Ignored","thesisSlug":"cali-governor-election","thesisPrice":35,"edge":29,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-08-15T06:04:48.564Z","firstDetectedPrice":20}],"slug":"will-republican-win-the-house-race-for-ca-45-chuon-kalshi-houseca45-26-r","indicators":{"tauDays":408,"iyYes":1700.9972970453905,"iyNo":4.711903869931831,"cri":19,"ee":27,"eeSource":"thesis","las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":850.5,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-21T22:08:44.181Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.692,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":1565,"askDepthUsd":8695,"volume24h":2.86,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8,"sfEdgeCents":29,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T22:36:48.557Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for HOUSECA45-26-R","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/HOUSECA45-26-R"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-republican-win-the-house-race-for-ca-45-chuon-kalshi-houseca45-26-r","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/HOUSECA45-26-R","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/HOUSECA45-26-R","fetchedAt":"2026-09-21T22:36:48.558Z"}