{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Marco Rubio announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":59,"bestBid":59,"bestAsk":63,"spread":4,"volume":28797.87,"volume24h":450.5,"openInterest":11163.89,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","indicators":{"tauDays":620,"iyYes":40.936876458059935,"iyNo":84.77172334949827,"cri":1.439,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0847,"cvr":null,"overround":6.96,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":38.8,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-22T00:38:18.021Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d","venue":"polymarket","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Marco Rubio","confidenceScore":0.88,"closeTimeDeltaSec":26816400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":20,"indicators":{"ee":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"tauDays":930,"iyYes":156.99380519649495,"iyNo":9.812112824780934}},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"volume24h":450.5,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:45:37.114Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x21ad31a46bfaa51650766eff6dc69c866959e32d965ffb116020e37694b6317d"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-MRUB","fetchedAt":"2026-04-22T00:45:37.115Z"}