{"ticker":"KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?","description":"If Thomas Massie announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":25,"bestBid":24,"bestAsk":29,"spread":5,"volume":1445,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1431,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-01T15:00:00Z","indicators":{"tauDays":620,"iyYes":186.5047477358566,"iyNo":18.598811408561872,"cri":3.167,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2083,"cvr":null,"overround":6.94,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":73.83,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-21T21:23:17.751Z"},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x24258776d0a926b4550b0f213267b95ba0a7741fc972d0b3c2b5f6bf8ced2c50","venue":"polymarket","title":"Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Thomas Massie","confidenceScore":0.88,"closeTimeDeltaSec":26816400,"matchMethod":"fuzzy-outcome","isArbReady":false,"priceCents":null,"indicators":null},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:32:45.710Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS"},{"description":"Counterpart on polymarket","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/0x24258776d0a926b4550b0f213267b95ba0a7741fc972d0b3c2b5f6bf8ced2c50"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KX2028RRUN-28-TMAS","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:35:00.020Z"}