{"ticker":"KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00?","description":"If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $5.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":13,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":15,"spread":5,"volume":1135.05,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":921.89,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T04:59:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US military assets pinned in Middle East — largest deployment since 2003. Pacifi","thesisSlug":"china-taiwan-window","thesisPrice":35,"edge":23,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-18T06:04:23.820Z","firstDetectedPrice":31},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":60,"edge":48,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-30T06:05:59.730Z","firstDetectedPrice":17}],"slug":"will-average-gas-prices-be-above-500-kalshi-kxaaagased-26nov03-5.00","indicators":{"tauDays":148,"iyYes":2221.8765218332337,"iyNo":27.430574343620172,"cri":9,"ee":45,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.5,"cvr":null,"overround":5.64,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":555.47,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-08T08:38:23.498Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":23,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T08:44:14.676Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-average-gas-prices-be-above-500-kalshi-kxaaagased-26nov03-5.00","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASED-26NOV03-5.00","fetchedAt":"2026-06-08T08:46:14.051Z"}