{"ticker":"KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will average **gas prices** be above $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $6.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":5,"spread":1,"volume":9664.19,"volume24h":31,"openInterest":4925.65,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-31T06:25:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":35,"edge":31,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-10T06:05:33.605Z","firstDetectedPrice":10}],"slug":"will-average-gas-prices-be-above-680-by-dec-31-202-kalshi-kxaaagasmax-26dec31-6.80","indicators":{"tauDays":216,"iyYes":4047.5354390374628,"iyNo":7.0269712483289295,"cri":24,"ee":30,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.25,"cvr":null,"overround":1.82,"rv":3583.34,"vr":5.511,"iar":0.37,"adjIy":3035.65,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T20:08:27.726Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":31,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:37:16.228Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-average-gas-prices-be-above-680-by-dec-31-202-kalshi-kxaaagasmax-26dec31-6.80","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAAAGASMAX-26DEC31-6.80","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:37:47.436Z"}