{"ticker":"KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election be between 0% and 3%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Dan Sullivan in the 2026 Alaska Senate election falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":50,"spread":32,"volume":15403.11,"volume24h":300,"openInterest":5669.83,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":18,"size":10},{"price":17,"size":682},{"price":12,"size":140},{"price":11,"size":200},{"price":10,"size":1341}],"askLevels":[{"price":50,"size":600},{"price":75,"size":50},{"price":92,"size":550},{"price":93,"size":2690},{"price":99,"size":100}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-dan-sullivan-in-the-kalshi-kxakmov-aksenate26nov03-dsul-p1","indicators":{"tauDays":250,"iyYes":664.1865634148378,"iyNo":32.004230598811326,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.51,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":332.09,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T05:38:41.270Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":32,"bidDepthUsd":2373,"askDepthUsd":3990,"volume24h":300,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T05:53:45.516Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-dan-sullivan-in-the-kalshi-kxakmov-aksenate26nov03-dsul-p1","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXAKMOV-AKSENATE26NOV03-DSUL-P1","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T05:53:45.516Z"}