{"ticker":"KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 0% and 5%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":35,"spread":3,"volume":6819.44,"volume24h":513.2,"openInterest":5047.28,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-04T14:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":32,"size":15},{"price":31,"size":500},{"price":23,"size":200},{"price":12,"size":51},{"price":11,"size":550}],"askLevels":[{"price":35,"size":2000},{"price":36,"size":25},{"price":41,"size":500},{"price":64,"size":27},{"price":86,"size":599}],"liquidityScore":"medium","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-flvio-bolsonaro-in-kalshi-kxbrpres1mov-brpres26-fbol-p2","indicators":{"tauDays":378,"iyYes":261.3062645737452,"iyNo":35.746343943377795,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.18,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":130.65,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-21T22:08:43.964Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T23:35:58.222Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-flvio-bolsonaro-in-kalshi-kxbrpres1mov-brpres26-fbol-p2","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-FBOL-P2","fetchedAt":"2026-09-21T23:36:32.934Z"}