{"ticker":"KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Bitcoin be above $250000 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET?","description":"If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":649100.78,"volume24h":420.95,"openInterest":199869.74,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":3,"size":23236},{"price":2,"size":30049},{"price":1,"size":53100}],"askLevels":[{"price":4,"size":5},{"price":5,"size":19362},{"price":6,"size":24741},{"price":7,"size":11147},{"price":8,"size":3650}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":12,"edge":9,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-23T06:04:58.051Z","firstDetectedPrice":4}],"slug":"will-bitcoin-be-above-250000-by-jan-1-2027-at-1200-kalshi-kxbtc2026250-27jan01-250000","indicators":{"tauDays":221,"iyYes":5333.218851019345,"iyNo":5.101389059323425,"cri":32.333,"ee":8,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":1777.83,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-24T22:08:24.910Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.427,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-05-24T22:16:29.911Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-bitcoin-be-above-250000-by-jan-1-2027-at-1200-kalshi-kxbtc2026250-27jan01-250000","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXBTC2026250-27JAN01-250000","fetchedAt":"2026-05-24T22:31:09.606Z"}