{"ticker":"KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Larry Thompson advance in the 2026 CA-32 primary?","description":"If Larry Thompson advances in the 2026 CA-32 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":70,"bestBid":66,"bestAsk":71,"spread":5,"volume":16768.45,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7007.21,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-larry-thompson-advance-in-the-2026-ca-32-prim-kalshi-kxcaprimary-3226-ltho","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":34.7765693690555,"iyNo":131.04388942180435,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0758,"cvr":null,"overround":0.9,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":60.56,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T22:38:51.173Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T22:49:48.897Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-larry-thompson-advance-in-the-2026-ca-32-prim-kalshi-kxcaprimary-3226-ltho","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCAPRIMARY-3226-LTHO","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T22:50:37.462Z"}