{"ticker":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 35%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":68,"bestBid":68,"bestAsk":70,"spread":2,"volume":2264.08,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1295.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":68,"size":310},{"price":67,"size":166},{"price":53,"size":200},{"price":46,"size":250},{"price":9,"size":36}],"askLevels":[{"price":70,"size":284},{"price":75,"size":166},{"price":77,"size":200},{"price":79,"size":600},{"price":85,"size":200}],"liquidityScore":"high","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-reform-uk-in-the-20-kalshi-kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01-ruk-p67","indicators":{"tauDays":360,"iyYes":47.67454352440919,"iyNo":215.28036060241033,"cri":2.125,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0294,"cvr":null,"overround":7.57,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":104.48,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-13T07:08:41.637Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:11:43.684Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-reform-uk-in-the-20-kalshi-kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01-ruk-p67","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P67","fetchedAt":"2026-07-13T07:13:19.540Z"}