{"ticker":"KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 45%?","description":"If the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election falls within 45% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":56,"bestBid":55,"bestAsk":63,"spread":8,"volume":162,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":137,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-08T14:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-reform-uk-in-the-20-kalshi-kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01-ruk-p72","indicators":{"tauDays":360,"iyYes":82.88869499130233,"iyNo":123.82138387589615,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1455,"cvr":null,"overround":7.57,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":52.9,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-13T07:08:41.637Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:12:06.069Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-reform-uk-in-the-20-kalshi-kxclactonbymov-clactonbyelection26sep01-ruk-p72","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCLACTONBYMOV-CLACTONBYELECTION26SEP01-RUK-P72","fetchedAt":"2026-07-13T07:12:16.584Z"}