{"ticker":"KXCPI-26AUG-T0.4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in August 2026?","description":"If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.4% (single-decimal) in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":34,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":42,"spread":9,"volume":1426,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":400.99,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-11T12:25:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":33,"size":200},{"price":30,"size":168},{"price":26,"size":74},{"price":19,"size":55},{"price":5,"size":53}],"askLevels":[{"price":42,"size":0},{"price":43,"size":200},{"price":49,"size":40},{"price":54,"size":35},{"price":56,"size":7}],"liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":55,"edge":18,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-07T06:05:33.207Z","firstDetectedPrice":40}],"slug":"will-cpi-rise-more-than-04-in-august-2026-kalshi-kxcpi-26aug-t0.4","indicators":{"tauDays":109,"iyYes":676.953143382302,"iyNo":164.22409738100401,"cri":2.03,"ee":13,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.2727,"cvr":null,"overround":2.9,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":246.17,"daysToEvent":17,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-25T01:08:25.116Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.635,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":18,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-25T01:26:20.337Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXCPI-26AUG-T0.4","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26AUG-T0.4"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-cpi-rise-more-than-04-in-august-2026-kalshi-kxcpi-26aug-t0.4","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXCPI-26AUG-T0.4","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXCPI-26AUG-T0.4","fetchedAt":"2026-05-25T01:26:47.266Z"}