{"ticker":"KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic party win 238-241 House seats in the 120th Congress?","description":"If the Democratic party has between 238-241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":11,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":11,"spread":1,"volume":35734.66,"volume24h":202.13,"openInterest":26280.25,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-02-01T15:00:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":18,"edge":8,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-08T06:05:48.007Z","firstDetectedPrice":12}],"slug":"will-the-democratic-party-win-238-241-house-seats-kalshi-kxdhouseseats-27-240","indicators":{"tauDays":220,"iyYes":1490.5394981623485,"iyNo":18.40172219953517,"cri":9,"ee":7,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.07,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":670.74,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T05:38:41.391Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.412,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"volume24h":202.13,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15,"sfEdgeCents":8,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:51:57.238Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-democratic-party-win-238-241-house-seats-kalshi-kxdhouseseats-27-240","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXDHOUSESEATS-27-240","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T05:51:57.238Z"}