{"ticker":"KXFED-26JUL-T3.25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jul 29, 2026 meeting?","description":"If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Jul 29, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":96,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":96,"spread":3,"volume":11758.3,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":7422.31,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-29T17:55:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":93,"size":700},{"price":89,"size":200},{"price":83,"size":100},{"price":81,"size":98},{"price":80,"size":75}],"askLevels":[{"price":96,"size":2},{"price":97,"size":3186},{"price":98,"size":1930},{"price":99,"size":3388}],"liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":99,"edge":3,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-22T06:05:48.407Z","firstDetectedPrice":97}],"slug":"will-the-upper-bound-of-the-federal-funds-rate-be-kalshi-kxfed-26jul-t3.25","indicators":{"tauDays":62,"iyYes":44.4376266167991,"iyNo":7843.694543034611,"cri":13.286,"ee":3,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0323,"cvr":null,"overround":1.82,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":3795.17,"daysToEvent":20,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T22:08:25.251Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.469,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":3,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T22:18:42.209Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXFED-26JUL-T3.25","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-26JUL-T3.25"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-upper-bound-of-the-federal-funds-rate-be-kalshi-kxfed-26jul-t3.25","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXFED-26JUL-T3.25","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-26JUL-T3.25","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T22:20:37.001Z"}