{"ticker":"KXGOVCA-26-MMAH","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the governorship in California?","description":"If Matt Mahan is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":10,"bestAsk":12,"spread":2,"volume":2659938.89,"volume24h":75312.72,"openInterest":1718383.13,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"California 2026 Governor: Steyer Overvalued, Hilton Tail Value Ignored","thesisSlug":"cali-governor-election","thesisPrice":22,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-14T06:04:44.399Z","firstDetectedPrice":15},{"thesisTitle":"California 2026 Governor: Mahan Underpriced at 15¢. The mailman's son from Watso","thesisSlug":"california-governor-2026-mahan-underpriced","thesisPrice":30,"edge":19,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-16T03:06:53.107Z","firstDetectedPrice":11}],"indicators":{"tauDays":558,"iyYes":588.892255125693,"iyNo":7.270274754638187,"cri":9,"ee":18,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.2,"cvr":null,"overround":0,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":235.56,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-24T19:08:43.627Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":11,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T19:17:31.386Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXGOVCA-26-MMAH","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVCA-26-MMAH"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVCA-26-MMAH?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KXGOVCA-26-MMAH","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVCA-26-MMAH","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVCA-26-MMAH","fetchedAt":"2026-04-24T19:19:56.963Z"}