{"ticker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 250 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"volume":93010.03,"volume24h":13.9,"openInterest":32708.95,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":12,"edge":6,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-10T06:04:22.363Z","firstDetectedPrice":6}],"slug":"will-government-spending-decrease-by-250-before-20-kalshi-kxgovtcuts-26-250","indicators":{"tauDays":278,"iyYes":2053.6154645444576,"iyNo":8.366925840153968,"cri":15.667,"ee":5,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.77,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":855.64,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T04:08:43.011Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.438,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":6,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T04:15:57.661Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTCUTS-26-250"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVTCUTS-26-250?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-government-spending-decrease-by-250-before-20-kalshi-kxgovtcuts-26-250","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T04:16:39.599Z"}