{"ticker":"KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026?","description":"If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":49,"bestBid":44,"bestAsk":49,"spread":5,"volume":9225.26,"volume24h":462.56,"openInterest":6214.58,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-01T14:00:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":55,"edge":9,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-06-20T06:05:22.010Z","firstDetectedPrice":47}],"slug":"will-the-us-government-be-shut-down-on-oct-1-2026-kalshi-kxgovtshutdown-26oct01","indicators":{"tauDays":98,"iyYes":476.38358667431123,"iyNo":294.0939489162839,"cri":1.273,"ee":6,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1136,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":211.13,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T01:38:42.538Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.6,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"volume24h":462.56,"sfEdgeCents":9,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T01:55:49.542Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-us-government-be-shut-down-on-oct-1-2026-kalshi-kxgovtshutdown-26oct01","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTSHUTDOWN-26OCT01","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T01:55:49.543Z"}