{"ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-TX23-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democratic win the House race for TX-23?","description":"If the House member sworn in for TX-23 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":25,"bestAsk":27,"spread":2,"volume":6536.92,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":4082.71,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":25,"size":5},{"price":24,"size":250},{"price":22,"size":500},{"price":21,"size":948},{"price":12,"size":51}],"askLevels":[{"price":27,"size":250},{"price":28,"size":500},{"price":46,"size":500},{"price":50,"size":50},{"price":60,"size":50}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":32,"edge":6,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-28T06:04:18.856Z","firstDetectedPrice":25}],"slug":"will-democratic-win-the-house-race-for-tx-23-kalshi-kxhouserace-tx23-26-d","indicators":{"tauDays":477,"iyYes":229.32225326391534,"iyNo":25.48025036265726,"cri":3,"ee":5,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.08,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":105.49,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-07-14T03:08:41.570Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.438,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1754,"askDepthUsd":1350,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":6,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-07-14T04:02:52.099Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXHOUSERACE-TX23-26-D","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSERACE-TX23-26-D"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-democratic-win-the-house-race-for-tx-23-kalshi-kxhouserace-tx23-26-d","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXHOUSERACE-TX23-26-D","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSERACE-TX23-26-D","fetchedAt":"2026-07-14T04:02:52.099Z"}