{"ticker":"KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Sep 1, 2026?","description":"If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":7,"bestAsk":8,"spread":1,"volume":6261.2,"volume24h":7.09,"openInterest":3982.55,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-01T14:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":7,"size":110},{"price":6,"size":766},{"price":4,"size":1250},{"price":3,"size":2500},{"price":2,"size":3795}],"askLevels":[{"price":8,"size":100},{"price":10,"size":750},{"price":11,"size":200},{"price":74,"size":562},{"price":75,"size":2295}],"liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk","thesisSlug":"russia-escalates-ukraine","thesisPrice":2,"edge":19,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-04T06:04:40.755Z","firstDetectedPrice":15},{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":1,"edge":9,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-16T06:05:10.761Z","firstDetectedPrice":3},{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":1,"edge":7,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-19T06:05:21.417Z","firstDetectedPrice":4},{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":1,"edge":16,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-04T06:05:49.826Z","firstDetectedPrice":15},{"thesisTitle":"The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril","thesisSlug":"hormuz-sarhu","thesisPrice":2,"edge":19,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-04T06:04:57.237Z","firstDetectedPrice":15},{"thesisTitle":"MAGA splits over Iran war. Anti-interventionist wing vs hawks. Joe Kent resignat","thesisSlug":"maga-splits-iran-midterms","thesisPrice":3,"edge":18,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-04T06:04:24.906Z","firstDetectedPrice":15},{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":2,"edge":8,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-17T06:04:17.612Z","firstDetectedPrice":6},{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":18,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-25T06:04:11.903Z","firstDetectedPrice":6},{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":2,"edge":8,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-14T06:05:23.684Z","firstDetectedPrice":10}],"slug":"will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-before-sep-kalshi-kxiranembassy-27-26sep","indicators":{"tauDays":96,"iyYes":5063.734886739115,"iyNo":28.68805751534475,"cri":13.286,"ee":10,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.1429,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":1728.06,"vr":2.564,"iar":1.8,"adjIy":4340.13,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-28T19:38:25.516Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":8421,"askDepthUsd":3907,"volume24h":7.09,"sfEdgeCents":19,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:02:02.853Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-before-sep-kalshi-kxiranembassy-27-26sep","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP","fetchedAt":"2026-05-28T20:02:02.853Z"}