{"ticker":"KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?","description":"If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":26,"bestBid":26,"bestAsk":34,"spread":8,"volume":7832.22,"volume24h":26.54,"openInterest":5350.68,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-01T14:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":26,"size":71},{"price":25,"size":166},{"price":12,"size":23},{"price":11,"size":38},{"price":10,"size":195}],"askLevels":[{"price":34,"size":166},{"price":97,"size":80},{"price":97,"size":36},{"price":97,"size":23},{"price":99,"size":50}],"liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US military assets pinned in Middle East — largest deployment since 2003. Pacifi","thesisSlug":"china-taiwan-window","thesisPrice":42,"edge":12,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-08T06:05:03.712Z","firstDetectedPrice":34}],"slug":"will-lai-ching-te-leave-office-before-2027-07-01t1-kalshi-kxlaiout-lchi-27jul01","indicators":{"tauDays":418,"iyYes":248.34539078862022,"iyNo":30.65768520327014,"cri":2.846,"ee":8,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.3077,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":85.96,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-09T06:38:25.409Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":12,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T06:41:05.653Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-lai-ching-te-leave-office-before-2027-07-01t1-kalshi-kxlaiout-lchi-27jul01","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01","fetchedAt":"2026-05-09T06:43:36.892Z"}