{"ticker":"KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?","description":"If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":35,"spread":3,"volume":82296.74,"volume24h":14.75,"openInterest":42345.74,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"MAGA splits over Iran war. Anti-interventionist wing vs hawks. Joe Kent resignat","thesisSlug":"maga-splits-iran-midterms","thesisPrice":55,"edge":22,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-03-30T06:00:39.052Z","firstDetectedPrice":31},{"thesisTitle":"MAGA splits over Iran war. Anti-interventionist wing vs hawks. Joe Kent resignat","thesisSlug":"maga-splits-iran-midterms","thesisPrice":18,"edge":6,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-03-30T06:00:39.052Z","firstDetectedPrice":12}],"indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":396.287099625491,"iyNo":87.75908088592192,"cri":2.125,"ee":22,"eeSource":"regime","las":0.0938,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.17,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":179.56,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-04-21T21:38:17.748Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":22,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T21:48:48.347Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXLOSEPRIMARYHOUSER-26NOV03-6T","fetchedAt":"2026-04-21T21:50:40.381Z"}