{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AR03R-P13","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arkansas's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 3rd District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":86,"bestBid":85,"bestAsk":86,"spread":1,"volume":775,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":400,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":85,"size":12},{"price":84,"size":16},{"price":83,"size":352},{"price":72,"size":33},{"price":71,"size":66}],"askLevels":[{"price":86,"size":66},{"price":96,"size":4},{"price":99,"size":2}],"liquidityScore":"medium","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ar03r-p13","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":11.91308085652767,"iyNo":382.54226305961055,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1294,"cvr":null,"overround":2.85,"rv":189.07,"vr":5.419,"iar":2.71,"adjIy":333.04,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T22:38:51.093Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T22:51:59.781Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-AR03R-P13","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AR03R-P13"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ar03r-p13","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AR03R-P13","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AR03R-P13","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T22:53:08.197Z"}