{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSEN-P4","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 4 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":84,"bestBid":85,"bestAsk":93,"spread":8,"volume":143.56,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":143.56,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":85,"size":200},{"price":1,"size":100},{"price":1,"size":5000},{"price":1,"size":100}],"askLevels":[{"price":93,"size":200},{"price":99,"size":100},{"price":99,"size":3},{"price":99,"size":5}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-arsen-p4","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":15.942914175434666,"iyNo":511.94468852229085,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0941,"cvr":null,"overround":6.31,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":231.89,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T14:38:42.082Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":5400,"askDepthUsd":308,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T14:43:58.234Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSEN-P4","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSEN-P4"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-arsen-p4","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSEN-P4","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSEN-P4","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T14:43:58.235Z"}