{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSENR-P30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 30 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":20,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":100,"spread":100,"volume":163.87,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":163.87,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[],"askLevels":[],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-arsenr-p30","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":361.0563618872861,"iyNo":22.56602261795538,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.28,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":180.53,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T06:08:41.576Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":100,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:51.524Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSENR-P30","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSENR-P30"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-arsenr-p30","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSENR-P30","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-ARSENR-P30","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:51.524Z"}