{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ02R-P19","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Arizona's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 2nd District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":6,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":18,"spread":18,"volume":7,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[],"askLevels":[{"price":18,"size":32},{"price":21,"size":1}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-az02r-p19","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":1414.2843127798374,"iyNo":5.76213617701156,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.3,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":707.14,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:42.049Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":18,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":33,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:56.379Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ02R-P19","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ02R-P19"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-az02r-p19","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ02R-P19","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ02R-P19","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T07:08:56.379Z"}