{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P60","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Arizona's 3rd District House election be at least 60 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 60 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":23,"bestBid":45,"bestAsk":50,"spread":5,"volume":5,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":45,"size":5},{"price":44,"size":100},{"price":43,"size":200},{"price":1,"size":5000}],"askLevels":[{"price":50,"size":5},{"price":51,"size":100},{"price":53,"size":200},{"price":97,"size":3081},{"price":99,"size":25}],"liquidityScore":"medium","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ar-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-az03d-p60","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":90.10561769813474,"iyNo":60.3186366409001,"cri":1.222,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1111,"cvr":null,"overround":5.18,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":40.05,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T12:38:41.872Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:37:43.557Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P60","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P60"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ar-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-az03d-p60","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P60","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P60","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T12:39:02.943Z"}