{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 11 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":27,"bestAsk":32,"spread":5,"volume":615,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":515,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-azgovd-p11","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":199.2826870351597,"iyNo":27.261602336016416,"cri":2.704,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1852,"cvr":null,"overround":1.08,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":81.19,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T10:08:41.857Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T10:34:46.609Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-azgovd-p11","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P11","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T10:34:46.609Z"}