{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Arizona be at least 5 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":53,"bestBid":53,"bestAsk":60,"spread":7,"volume":47.14,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":34.64,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":53,"size":101},{"price":51,"size":200},{"price":2,"size":333},{"price":2,"size":4704}],"askLevels":[{"price":60,"size":101},{"price":61,"size":200},{"price":99,"size":25},{"price":99,"size":5000}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-azgovd-p5","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":65.34380784479171,"iyNo":83.0922391290267,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1321,"cvr":null,"overround":1.08,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":36.06,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T06:38:41.463Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":5338,"askDepthUsd":5326,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T06:45:13.610Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-azgovd-p5","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P5","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T06:45:13.610Z"}