{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 1st District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":79,"bestBid":80,"bestAsk":81,"spread":1,"volume":3541,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1062,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-co-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ct01d-p25","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":16.878144421426455,"iyNo":270.0503107428234,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0125,"cvr":null,"overround":3.27,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":133.34,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T23:38:51.031Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:48:06.865Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-co-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ct01d-p25","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D-P25","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T23:48:11.308Z"}