{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 3rd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":60,"bestBid":54,"bestAsk":61,"spread":7,"volume":246,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":107,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-co-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ct03d-p20","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":62.76386804859321,"iyNo":86.49311872859066,"cri":1.174,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1296,"cvr":null,"overround":1.91,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":37.64,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T05:38:41.485Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:47:29.613Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-co-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ct03d-p20","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-CT03D-P20","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T05:49:13.302Z"}