{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Iowa be at least 9 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":16,"spread":4,"volume":1907.59,"volume24h":350,"openInterest":1552,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-iagovd-","indicators":{"tauDays":549,"iyYes":487.5948699919059,"iyNo":9.066846756047836,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.19,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":162.54,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-03T16:08:18.259Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"volume24h":350},"computedAt":"2026-05-03T16:10:44.718Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-go-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-iagovd-","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9","fetchedAt":"2026-05-03T16:10:44.718Z"}