{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Idaho be at least 18 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Idaho by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":86,"bestBid":88,"bestAsk":97,"spread":9,"volume":400,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":400,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-idgovr-p18","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":14.70553701743392,"iyNo":554.9089376578636,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.53,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":277.45,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T13:38:42.461Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T14:05:49.501Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-idgovr-p18","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T14:05:49.502Z"}