{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-IL04D-P33","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 4th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":72,"bestAsk":78,"spread":6,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":72,"size":100},{"price":71,"size":200},{"price":37,"size":381},{"price":36,"size":31}],"askLevels":[{"price":78,"size":5},{"price":79,"size":100},{"price":81,"size":200},{"price":99,"size":25},{"price":99,"size":1738}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-il-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-il04d-p33","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":28.672401595868845,"iyNo":189.5889411645205,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0833,"cvr":null,"overround":3.57,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":86.9,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-26T13:38:41.735Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":712,"askDepthUsd":2068,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T13:42:45.696Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-IL04D-P33","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL04D-P33"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-il-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-il04d-p33","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL04D-P33","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-IL04D-P33","fetchedAt":"2026-06-26T13:42:45.697Z"}