{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":56,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":58,"spread":58,"volume":1861,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":650,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-lo-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-la02d-p38","indicators":{"tauDays":404,"iyYes":70.96197215957694,"iyNo":114.94666564691806,"cri":1.273,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":1.92,"rv":11937.22,"vr":36.743,"iar":0.79,"adjIy":114.95,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-09-25T11:38:50.849Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":58,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-09-25T11:47:20.641Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-lo-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-la02d-p38","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-LA02D-P38","fetchedAt":"2026-09-25T11:47:20.641Z"}