{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 8th District by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":84,"bestAsk":90,"spread":6,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","bidLevels":[{"price":84,"size":500}],"askLevels":[{"price":90,"size":5},{"price":92,"size":500},{"price":99,"size":1}],"liquidityScore":"low","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ma-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ma08d-p31","indicators":{"tauDays":450,"iyYes":16.616405498993874,"iyNo":396.09140997428625,"cri":4.882,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.55,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":198.05,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false,"lastComputedAt":"2026-08-10T17:08:41.828Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T17:35:20.742Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-ma-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-ma08d-p31","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MA08D-P31","fetchedAt":"2026-08-10T17:36:39.020Z"}