{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?","description":"If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 12th District by 52 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":35,"bestBid":29,"bestAsk":36,"spread":7,"volume":1150,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":120,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-mi-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-mi12d-p52","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":165.28941433396946,"iyNo":27.575559899795344,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2414,"cvr":null,"overround":3.56,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":62.69,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-05-11T23:38:50.954Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadPct":null,"depthChange1h":null,"volumeZscore":null,"flowImbalance":null,"crossVenueGap":null,"catalystType":null,"catalystHours":null,"sfEdgeCents":null,"sfEdgeDirection":null,"observability":null,"eventType":null,"asPrior":null},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:01.834Z","fresh":false},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-democrats-in-the-mi-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-mi12d-p52","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MI12D-P52","fetchedAt":"2026-05-11T23:51:38.688Z"}