{"ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?","description":"If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":14,"bestBid":15,"bestAsk":16,"spread":1,"volume":933,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":307,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","slug":"will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-misenr-p3","indicators":{"tauDays":513,"iyYes":402.89408463178205,"iyNo":12.54687460791017,"cri":5.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0667,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.54,"rv":null,"vr":null,"iar":null,"adjIy":188.01,"daysToEvent":null,"expectedVr":null,"residualVr":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true,"lastComputedAt":"2026-06-08T06:08:23.526Z"},"crossVenue":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T06:12:29.553Z","fresh":true},"nextActions":{"inspect":[{"description":"Full dossier for KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3"},{"description":"Orderbook depth","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3?depth=true"}],"related":[{"description":"Contagion — lagging siblings","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/contagion?window=6h"},{"description":"Top edges across theses","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/edges"},{"description":"Salience snapshot","method":"GET","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/world"}]},"pageUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/markets/will-the-margin-of-victory-for-republicans-in-the-kalshi-kxmidtermmov-misenr-p3","apiUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/market/KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3","inspectUrl":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXMIDTERMMOV-MISENR-P3","fetchedAt":"2026-06-08T06:12:29.554Z"}